America is a Poor Retiree

5 Jun

If you’ve ever gone to the mall lately — no, if you drive a car outside at all, you’ve probably seen multiple signs put out by the people who are buying gold. A few months ago I approached a lady at one of these kiosks in the mall. At the time, silver was about 38 dollars an ounce, and I asked her how much I could get for 1 ounce of .999 silver. She quoted me a price of about $13-14.

What’s shocking is not that they offer such a low price, but that people are actually taking them up on it. So many people are in such dire straits that they must liquidate their precious metals without even checking to see the price. They take an extremely low price just to get some cash to pay for their other bills and their debts.

That’s such a great metaphor for America. And it’s no wonder that our countries primary banks are liquidating massive amounts of precious metals at cut-rates. Think about that next time you place your hope in your country to bring you a glorious future. Be wise.


Is Gold a Bubble? Will it be Useful for TEOTWAWKI/SHTF?

29 May

Mark Dice recently interviewed at least a dozen people right next to a coin shop. No one has any idea what it is worth. If you think precious metals are in a bubble you are mistaken. Although Dice is a bit abrasive, the addition of the coin shop right next to him to the scenario is incredibly telling. Most people simply dismiss him, regardless of the benefit a little investigation might bring.

Additionally, this should probably indicate that storing gold or silver for a SHTF scenario may be a bad idea. It will likely be worth a lot and people still won’t care. When will this change? It will change when any economy tries to recover from the fiat money-printing fiasco.


Former Assistant Treasury Secretary on Capital Account

24 May

This is one of the few “insiders” who has come out to expose what is really going on in the Government/Financial complex of America. Lauren Lyster’s intelligent questions bring out a panoply of interesting responses from Fmr. Asst. Treasury Secretary Paul Craig Roberts. Those who watched the PBS documentary on the financial crisis will immediately understand the context of Roberts’ remarks.


PBS Frontline Documentary on the Financial Crisis

18 May

This is a 4 hour series that does an excellent job of describing how credit derivatives are at the core of nearly every major financial problem of the 21st century thus far.

I can’t imagine a series that interviews more key players in the game. The access you get through this series is uncanny in terms of the inside perspective from bankers who created and manipulated these financial instruments for their banks.

This is must see for anyone who wants to understand where we are financially today.


Fascinating Interview with Biographer of Blythe Masters (in English)

17 May

This interview presents the raw perspective of a journalist, Pierre Jovanovic, who spent several years researching the career of Blythe Masters. His comments are extremely insightful for everyone who wants to understand who she is and what she has done. Unfortunately, his book is only available in French. This interview is the only means I know of to access the core of what he addresses in his book.

For those of us who are familiar with Masters, much of what he has to say is merely confirmation of we know. What’s interesting is how seriously this man, who is more of a journalist than an economist, reacts to Masters’ effect on the global landscape.

I am deeply grateful for this opportunity to finally hear his thoughts. I encourage you to check out his website that says more about the book: Thankfully, non-French speakers can use translation features in their browser (available at least in Chrome) to understand the page. Hopefully the book comes out in English too.

Buying the Long-Term Trend

15 May

The best way to figure out when to purchase gold or silver is by following long (at least 10 year) trends. In my opinion, short term analysis gives you short sighted impulses. Long term trends give you sustainable expectations.

With that said, look at this chart and note the similarity between now and the 2008

10 year gold price per ounce

And for silver, note the return to the 2008 trend:

10 Year Silver Price

With both of these charts, you see the one crucial thing: silver and gold are placing themselves in an area that is highly synchronous with a long-term, multi-year, trend.

It seems like silver may come close to its low of 26, but I can’t imagine that you could buy it any more than you could 5 months ago, when it was last there. And gold may go a bit lower, but based on this chart, I have a hard time imagining it will break lower than 1500.

I’m curious for anyone else to give his/her input, but to me, it seems like a good time to buy. What do you think?

Jamie Dimon’s Obfuscation = JP Morgan’s Guilt?

13 May

I want to draw your attention to one of the most important things Jamie Dimon said to David Gregory in their recent conversation of JPM’s $2 billion proprietary trading loss:

GREGORY: The immediate question, the SEC is looking into this: Did the bank break any laws? Did it violate any accounting rules or SEC rules?

DIMON: So we’ve had audit, legal, risk, compliance, some of our best people looking at all of that. We know we were sloppy. We know we were stupid. We know there was bad judgment. We don’t know if any of that is true yet. Of course regulators should look at something like this, that’s their jobs. So we are totally open to regulators and they will come to their own conclusions. But we intend to fix it and learn from it and be a better company when it’s done.

The question Gregory asked was extremely simple: did you break any laws, accounting rules, or SEC rules? The answer Dimon gave was essentially this: “We’ve looked into it and I know the answer, but I’m not going to say right now what it is.”

Think about all the different things he could have said. Think about why he might have said this. This is bad, folks.

When baseball players are asked to testify before Congress about steroid usage, they obfuscate like this. When cyclists are asked to testify about blood doping, they obfuscate like this. When Jon Corzine responds to questions about MF Global, he obfuscated like this. Why? Because the level of cover-up is so massive that drawing any attention to the truth is overwhelmingly frightening for them. What you see from Mr. Dimon is a high level of fear about what this problem means for him, his bank, America, and the world.